A PMI Registered Training Course

The 10-Day Advanced Project Economics
& Risk Management

Improve Decision-making and Increase Investment Effectiveness

PMI® Registered Training Courses

The 10-Day Advanced Project Economics & Risk Management

Scheduled Dates

Classroom

07 - 18 Sep 2026
Dubai - UAE
$11,900
09 - 20 Nov 2026
London - UK
$11,900
06 - 17 Sep 2027
Dubai - UAE
$11,900
08 - 19 Nov 2027
London - UK
$11,900

This training course is split into two modules:

Each module is structured and can be taken as a stand-alone training course; however, delegates will maximise their benefits by taking Modules I, and II back-to-back as a 2-week training course.

Daily Agenda

Module I: Project Analysis : Tools & Techniques for Managing Risk & Uncertainty

Day 1: Fundamentals of Decision Analysis
  • Fundamentals of Decision Analysis
    • What is Project Management Decision Analysis?
    • The Purpose of the Project Business Case
    • The need for systematic Risk Management for Decision-Making
    • Risk and Uncertainty on projects
    • Option analysis
    • Identifying key decision-making factors
  • Measures of Project Profitability
    • Fundamental tools of engineering economics
    • Time Value of Money
    • Appraisal Methods - Discounted Cash Flow Projections
    • Time Equivalence
Day 2: Cash-Flow Modelling and Project Decision Analysis
  • Financial Modelling and Project Evaluation
  • Rate of Return Computations (IRR)
  • Determining the Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
  • The Risk of not understanding IRR
    • Analysing Project Specifics
      • Understanding the Project Context to assist in decision-making
      • Determine stakeholders and their level of influence
      • Capture Requirements
      • Determine Scope of work
Day 3: The Cost of Capital
  • Capital & Operating Expenditures (CAPEX/OPEX)
  • Estimating the Cost of Capital for a Project
  • Benefit-Cost Ratio (BCR)
  • Dis-benefits
    • Risk Modelling in practice
      • Identify Risks
      • Forecasting Risk Impacts & Probabilities
      • Opportunity Costs, Sunk Costs & Salvage Value of a Project
      • Determining the Risk Priorities
      • The need for Company Cash Flow
Day 4: Decision Analysis: Expected Value Concept
  • Basic Probability Concepts
    • Fundamental Probability Concepts
    • Mutually& Non-Mutually Exclusive, Independent Events
  • Quantitative Project Risk Analysis
    • Semi-Quantitative Bow-Tie Process
    • Detailed Risk Quantification and Prioritisation
    • Expected Monetary Value
    • Scenario Planning
  • Sensitivity Analysis Tools
    • Simulation Process
    • Tornado Diagram
    • Defining the Variables - PERT
Day 5: Decision Trees, EMV, Risk Responses and ROI
  • Decision Tree Analysis
    • Developing Decision Trees
    • Solving Decision Trees
  • Risk Responses
    • Developing Risk Responses
    • Evaluating Response Relevance
  • ROI Analysis
    • Understanding ROI
    • Identifying ROI
    • Evaluating and Presenting your Project options

Module II: Advanced Project Economics, Risk & Decision Analysis

Day 6: Development Economics
  • A brief history of energy usage
  • Principles of development economics
  • Understanding of economic terms
  • Inflation and its impact on nominal & real cashflows
  • Project financing
Day 7: Uncertainty in Investments
  • Handling uncertainty in capital projects
  • Understanding probability concepts
  • The expected value concept: features and pitfalls
    • Expected Monetary Value (EMV)
    • Expected Profitability Index (EPI)
    • Expected Opportunity Loss (EOL)
Day 8: Risks and Uncertainties
  • Risk & uncertainty
  • Risk aversion and risk premium
  • Exploration project threats and opportunities
  • Economic decision criteria
  • Decision tree analysis
  • Probability distribution
  • Monte Carlo simulation
Day 9: Setting-up Spreadsheet Calculations Using Excel
  • Spreadsheet Calculations
    • Cashflow analysis
    • Sensitivity analysis calculations
    • Tornado diagrams
  • Introduction to Monte Carlo simulations using @Risk
Day 10: Practical Use of the @Risk Add-On
  • Developing an integrated economic model
  • Developing and using an @Risk Model Analysis
  • Project sensitivity analysis utilizing data from @Risk Model
  • Training course final review and close

Certificate

  • On successful completion of this Training Course / Online Training Course, a PetroKnowledge Certificate / E-Certificate will be awarded to the delegates.
  • On successful completion of this PetroKnowledge training course, Certificate with eligible Professional Development Units (PDUs) / Contact Hours from Project Management Institute (PMI®), will be awarded to the delegates

Accreditation

PMI® Registered Training Courses

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